Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2295 · MSP → FAR
departs 10:09 PM CT · arrives 11:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 14%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 14%
Fri 11/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
FAR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.