Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2583
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2583 · ATL → PIT
departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 13%
Wed 11/4 15%
Thu 11/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.