Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2837 · TUL → ATL
departs 6:49 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 18%
Thu 11/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from TUL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.