Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2931 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 2931 · MSP → DEN

departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 7:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2931 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?