Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2932 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 2932 · MSP → RDU

departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2932 · MSP → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?