Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8849
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 8849 · PIE → MIA
departs 4:32 PM ET · arrives 5:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PIE that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 667 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.50 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.