Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8868
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 8868 · CLT → TPA
departs 6:02 PM ET · arrives 7:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
6pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 667 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.