MQ 3865 · CLT → HXD

departs 9:29 AM ET · arrives 11:45 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HXD more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HXD?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HXD

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into HXD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HXD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3865 · CLT → HXD

Odds over time

How late will it get to HXD?