MQ 4007 · OCJ → MIA

departs 12:46 PM EST · arrives 2:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OCJ

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OCJ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.78 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4007 · OCJ → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?