Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1470 · DAL → OKC
departs 10:35 PM CT · arrives 11:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.