Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1782 · MIA → MCO
departs 6:52 PM ET · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
18%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
18%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.29 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.