Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1810 · DEN → TPA
departs 6:57 PM MT · arrives 12:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 60%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.