Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 1810 · DEN → TPA
departs 6:42 PM MT · arrives 12:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 46 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 46 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.