Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 196 · ATL → BNA
departs 9:34 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 34%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.