Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2135
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2135 · HOU → TPA
departs 8:26 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 37%
Wed 11/4 36%
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.07 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.