Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2226 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

WN 2226 · KOA → HNL

departs 7:01 PM HT · arrives 8:05 PM HT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 5% of the time recently

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2226 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?