Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2675
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2675 · MCO → AUS
departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 9:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 31%
Thu 11/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
22%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.