Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2946 · MDW → OMA
departs 9:38 PM CT · arrives 11:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 40%
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,333 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.