Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2959 · PHX → MCI
departs 2:24 PM MT · arrives 5:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Thu 11/5 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 1.44 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.