Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3105 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

WN 3105 · MSP → DEN

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 4:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3105 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?