Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3620
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3620 · RSW → STL
departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.81 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.