Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4195
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4195 · HNL → LIH
departs 8:43 PM HT · arrives 9:39 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.