Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4473 · BNA → PIT
departs 9:32 PM CT · arrives 12:14 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 27%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.