Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4887 · DAL → AUS
departs 10:46 PM CT · arrives 11:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 64%
Thu 11/5 45%
Fri 11/6 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.