AA 1643 · CHS → CLT

took off 10:21 AM ET · landed 11:00 AM ET (scheduled 8:14 AM ET → 9:28 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ 8am departures from CHS are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1643 · CHS → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?