Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1732 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 2

AA 1732 · CLT → MCI

departs 10:19 PM ET · arrives 11:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1732 · CLT → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?