tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1786 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1786 · DFW → CVG

departs 5:57 PM CT · arrives 9:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CVG?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.