AA 1917 · CLT → OKC

took off 8:55 AM ET · expected to land 10:01 AM CT (scheduled 8:44 AM ET → 10:44 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1917 · CLT → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?