AA 2283 · ATL → MIA

departs 9:18 AM ET · arrives 11:24 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2283 · ATL → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?