AA 2394 · CLT → JFK

took off 7:18 AM ET · expected to land 8:35 AM ET (scheduled 7:12 AM ET → 9:10 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2394 · CLT → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?