AA 2755 · MIA → POP

took off 11:41 AM ET · landed 2:14 PM AST (scheduled 11:00 AM ET → 2:12 PM AST)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at POP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to POP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ 11am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into POP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

POP (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2755 · MIA → POP

Odds over time

How late did it get to POP?