Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3018 LANDED 4:55 PM MT, ~39 MIN LATE
Yesterday

AA 3018 · MIA → PHX

took off 2:20 PM ET · landed 4:55 PM MT (scheduled 1:33 PM ET → 4:24 PM MT)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.5d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    –
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    ✓
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.