AA 3059 · ORD → SAT

took off 10:37 AM CT · landed 12:57 PM CT (scheduled 10:26 AM CT → 1:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

SAT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3059 · ORD → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?