AA 3060 · JFK → MIA

departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 2:56 PM ET

Your aircraft is N335PH (B738), coming in as AA 3199 from CLT: landed 11:07 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3060 · JFK → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?