AA 3145 · MSY → CLT

took off 2:47 PM CT · landed 5:13 PM ET (scheduled 2:07 PM CT → 5:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3145 · MSY → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?