AA 337 · MIA → SJO

took off 11:38 AM ET · landed 1:24 PM CST (scheduled 10:59 AM ET → 1:14 PM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SJO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 337 · MIA → SJO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJO?