tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 613 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:24 AM ET, ETA 8:58 AM CT)
Today

AA 613 · DCA → ORD

took off 8:24 AM ET · expected to land 8:58 AM CT (scheduled 7:54 AM ET → 9:08 AM CT)
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.3d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.