AA 775 · ORD → DCA

took off 11:45 AM CT · landed 2:17 PM ET (scheduled 9:53 AM CT → 1:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DCA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

DCA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 775 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late did it get to DCA?