tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AS 469 · SBA → SEA

departs 6:50 PM PT · arrives 9:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 147h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Monday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.