Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2151
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
DL 2151 · MSP → PDX
departs 9:52 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at PDX that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.95 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.