MQ 3349 · DCA → SAV

took off 12:55 PM ET · expected to land 2:09 PM ET (scheduled 12:26 PM ET → 2:13 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

LIVE

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3349 · DCA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?