MQ 3398 · FAR → DFW

took off 11:51 AM CT · expected to land 2:09 PM CT (scheduled 11:44 AM CT → 2:18 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at FAR that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.50 in

DFW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3398 · FAR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?