MQ 3398 · FAR → DFW

departs 11:44 AM CT · arrives 2:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±19 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at FAR that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.28 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3398 · FAR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?