MQ 3416 · MSP → ORD

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 12:25 PM CT

Your aircraft is N267NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3416 from ORD: landed 9:45 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.88 in

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3416 · MSP → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?