MQ 3416 · ORD → MSP

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM CT

Your aircraft is N267NN (E170), coming in as MQ 4107 from FAR: landed 6:43 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3416 · ORD → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?