MQ 3513 · MIA → GRR

departs 8:33 PM ET · arrives 11:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts +64 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

GRR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3513 · MIA → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?