MQ 3598 · MIA → EIS

departs 10:08 AM ET · arrives 2:23 PM AST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into EIS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

EIS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3598 · MIA → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?