MQ 3703 · MIA → AVL

departs 9:43 PM ET · arrives 11:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +47 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

AVL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3703 · MIA → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?