MQ 3726 · MIA → MHH

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 11:43 AM EST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MHH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHH?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHH

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.35 in

MHH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3726 · MIA → MHH

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHH?