Schedule: FAA flight plans.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3749
SCHEDULED
Monday, November 2 Today
MQ 3749 · DCA → HSV
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:48 PM CT
Your aircraft is N275NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3910 from CLE: in the air, landing about 5:33 PM ET, 54 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/3 23%
Sun 11/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
93%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.7d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 108 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 22%.
+2 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 108 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 16%.
−1 pt
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 108 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 18-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 5%.
+0 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
HSV (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 3,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.